California Outlook Sees Decarbonized Transport Systems
In an alternative scenario, an even more aggressive regulatory program will cause demand to drop 13 percent.
Demand will drop from 12.3 billion gallons today to 11.2 billion gallons a year by 2020. Federal efficiency regulation will be the primary factor, followed by the state’s zero-emissions vehicle program (ZEV), a federal Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS2) and California Low Carbon Fuel Standard (LCFS).
Under the more aggressive scenario, demand falls to 10.6 billion gallons. This assumes efficiency standards are met and vehicles are replaced more readily.
Since 2002, Californian gasoline demand has fallen from 15.4 billion gallons, primarily the result of consumers travelling slightly fewer miles and the fleet becoming more fuel-efficient, BNEP says.
Additionally more cars with no tailpipe emissions will enter the fleet. Shrinking gasoline demand, and the pressure of tightening regulation, could see crude oil refineries usage decline, with the state’s refining sector consolidating.
Photo: hsivonen Flickr photostream
Energy Manager News
- Clauses to Consider in Green Leases
- Bahama Yacht Club to Generate Power from Solid Waste
- Duke Energy, USF Launch Solar Battery Research Initiative
- Energy Storage Helps Hotel Reduce Demand Charges by 10%
- EU Smart Campus Pilot Achieves 30% Energy Savings
- Uline to Operate 130 GenDrive Fuel Cell Units from Plug Power
- Los Angeles Shopping Center Installs 504 kW Solar
- SustainCo Wins $575,000 Contract for Energy Management Controls